Thursday, April 30, 2009

PREDICTING FREIGHT TRAFFIC

How many trucks will take one route through the state versus another?    How much freight will they be carrying? How much traffic will just pass    through and how much will stop for deliveries or pickups? And why do    these questions matter?        Forecasts for freight traffic matter because efficient movement of    goods supports economic growth. Knowing where the heaviest traffic will    be matters to transportation departments that must make decisions about    where to build new roads or when to schedule highway maintenance—    projects that require long-term planning.        Researchers at the University of Alabama in Huntsville have developed a    new freight and truck traffic forecasting tool to aid metropolitan    planning teams. Their model examines changes in the sizes of    populations and key industries, thus showing where local traffic flows    may change. It also accounts for pass-through volume—i.e., traffic    moving through the region over which the planners have no control. The    result is a more accurate picture of freight traffic's future impacts.        SOURCE: University of Alabama in Huntsville    http://www.uah.edu/insight/insightread.php?newsID=1333   

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Management Intelligence

 Management Intelligence

from Edward de Bono and Robert HellerImitating excellence

You can learn some valuable lessons in the pursuit of excellence from observing other managers from a distance - so long as you bear the following four principles in mind:

The Four Principles of Excellence

1 Excellent financial results cannot be equated with excellence: results may not last, and may not spring from superior management.

2 Your observations should relate to your needs and circumstances: avoid following courses of action that add no value to your business.

3 Shun lip-service. Methods or approaches that suit you and your business should be sought out, adopted, and adapted.

4 Any remedy is only good for as long as it works: do not become slavishly committed to a modus operandi for ever.

The eight attributes of success

In addition to observing the four principles listed above, use the eight attributes of success described by Peters and Waterman to provide a valuable checklist, and a spur to striving for excellence. These attributes translate into the following highly penetrating personal questions to ask yourself:

• What is the time-lag between your confronting an issue and reaching a decision, and between having made the decision and taking action?

• Do you use the fewest possible people for the highest possible output in the most effective possible set-up?

• Are you in regular, personal contact with customers, and do you use the contact constructively to increase their satisfaction?

• Do you manage people policies in order to achieve rising productivity and employee satisfaction?

• Do you delegate fully and effectively, allowing your staff the freedom to do their best?

• Do you have one strong guiding principle?

• Do you concentrate on what you are really good at?

• Do you keep tight control over the "housekeeping", while allowing plenty of latitude in creative work?

You will probably find yourself unable to answer "Yes" to all eight questions. Go back and look at the questions to which you answered "No", and work out what you need to do to take steps to change the negatives to positives.

Financial indicators

It is significant that none of the eight attributes refers to financial results. This is because the attributes are concerned with your performance as a manager, and financial results are a product of your performance. All the same, in conjunction with the eight key attributes, there are five financial questions which will give you vital indicators of how you are performing:

The Five Financial Questions

1 Are you creating wealth?

2 How highly do investors rate your company?

3 How efficiently are you investing capital?

4 How well are you using the shareholders' money?

5 How effectively are you managing costs and revenues and thus the all-important gap between them?

Balance is everything: you can have excellent results on all five counts while managing poorly in key aspects, but you are not managing well if your answers to the five questions are negative. Remember, the product of excellence is excellent results - financial or non-financial. 

Top technology Predictions

Top predictions for the future:

A list of predictions for the future of the world has been drawn up by US technology magazine 'Wired', which has now launched in the UK.

 

Urmee Khan, Digital and Media Correspondent 
Last Updated: 8:48AM BST 02 Apr 2009

Wired UK launch issue cover

 

1: Citywide free Wi-Fi ( by the year 2010)

And not just supplied by the local authority.

"A crowdsourced Wi-Fi network would be created if everyone turned off the encryption on their home Wi-Fi." Saul Parker, anthropologist

2: Rapid bioassays (2013)

Studying the effects of drugs on the body gets simpler and quicker, thanks to biosensitive computer chips that can give accurate, instant readings.

 

3: Care robots (2014)

Not robots with true AI, but helpful machines nonetheless.

 

4: Life-browsing (2014)

"As more of our lives go digital, we may use a program to sort our data. And it could hook up to software that understands the things people forget." Eric Horvitz, Microsoft Research

 

5: Intelligent advertising posters (2015)

Advertising gets personal. Posters that adjust to your presence and address you personally become as common as TV ads tailored to your profile.

 

6: Window power (2017)

Environmentally sustainable buildings aren't just carbon neutral, they will also make a clean contribution to the power grid in the form of solar-powergenerating windows.

 

7: Intelligent packaging (2017)

Using smart RFID chips, the food packages in your cupboard will talk to each other, then suggest what you can make if you combine them.

 

8: Energy-efficient buildings (2017)

The architect Norman Foster reflects that "architectural tastes will probably be driven by the global ambition to develop a sustainable way of living," although these new buildings will still have to be "a great place to be".

The problem is that glass and concrete structures are not that energy-efficient. Richard Silberglitt, senior physical scientist at the RAND Corporation, imagines new buildings using lightweight "third-generation solar collectors" instead of glass for windows. An example of this would be the Grätzel cell, which is based on a "nanoparticle of titanium dioxide and a dye that's a solar absorber". Jim Cramer, co-founder of the Design Futures Council, sees most buildings as being energy-neutral in ten to 15 years' time.

 

9: Teledildonics (2018)

Remote-control sexual stimulation. "There are Japanese scientists who are focusing ultrasound into a pinpoint, creating sound that you can touch in

the air." Violet Blue, sex columnist

 

10: Active contact lenses (2018)

These will project words and images into the eye. We will also be able to download software to influence our dreams and share them with others.

 

11: Meal-replacement patches (2018)

A patch will deliver all the nutrients you need without your having to open your mouth.

 

12: Non-touch computer interfaces (2018)

Operate a computer without touching anything, using gestures instead. "Still ten years away partly because of the need for accurate tracking." Vint Cerf, Google.

 

13: Nanotech drugs (2018)

Treatments will deliver themselves directly to the site of the problem. Office video walls Networked offices will take video conferencing to the next level. This could develop into "holographic projections" by 2030. Jeremy Gutsche, trend-hunter

 

14: Everything online

Internet-protocol (IP) addresses, the numbers that identify computers on a network, are running out. But their replacement, IPv6, will create such a vast amount of new ones, Vint Cerf tells us, that a very large number of devices can be part of the interactive environment.

"I'm anticipating that several hundreds of millions of devices will be online. A lot will be very small things – sensors, for example, for local ambient information such as temperature, humidity and possibly the detection of biohazards. Or they might be used to monitor and control building conditions or security devices." Chris Bishop sees this as leading to the fully automated home in ten to 20 years – and we are already on the way. "Some estimates show a typical modern house has around 100 fully programmable computers and this looks set to increase."

 

15:Folk-art revival (2019)

"Media production tools will be in the hands of the people, and theline between pro and amateur media is blurred." Douglas Rushkoff, professor of media culture, New York University.

 

Wired predictions collected by Charlie Burton

http://www.telegraph.co.uk

Online Media Landscape

Ivory tower needs to adapt to online media landscape, scholar says

April 9th, 2009Ivory tower needs to adapt to online media landscape, scholar says

Enlarge

University of Illinois education professor Michael A. Peters says universities need to embrace new online media, social networks and a culture of "openness" as part of their pedagogy, or they risk becoming seen as anachronisms in today’s hyper-connected world. Credit: L. Brian Stauffer

Universities need to embrace new online media, social networks and a culture of "openness" as part of their pedagogy, or they risk becoming seen as anachronisms in today's hyper-connected world where information is available freely, says a University of Illinois expert who studies the knowledge economy's effect on higher education.

Michael A. Peters, a professor of educational policy studies in the U. of I.'s College of Education and a co-author of "Creativity and the Global Knowledge Economy," says that while forms of social media and  are transforming all of major institutions, including business, media and government, higher education has fallen behind the curve in adapting to the realities of information flow in the 21st century.

"Schools are built on industrial models whose logic often lags behind what underwrites new media, social networks and the creative economy," Peters said. "Now, we're living in a radically networked age, and higher education hasn't quite come to terms yet with what these new forms of the learning economy are, or how to adapt to them."

In the classic model of education, students received information from teachers and textbooks in an almost one-way informational flow. Now, Peters said, the viral nature of communication on the Internet is rapidly displacing the "old school" model.

In an age of file sharing and open academic repositories, he said, it's not reasonable to assume that knowledge need be something that's handed-down from on high, especially when the course materials used in the teaching of virtually all of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology's courses are available free of charge online.

"When the scholarly ideas and information contained in a PDF file can be downloaded, viewed and shared by hundreds of millions of people worldwide in a matter of minutes while an ink-and-paper version languishes on a dusty library shelf, what that does is radically de-center forms of educational authority," Peters said. "It also flattens the academic playing field, and puts a greater emphasis on the social aspect of learning."

With the ubiquity of the Internet in college classrooms, and with the wealth of free information available online, Peters said students still need teachers who are savvy synthesizers of knowledge.

"One of the critical concepts we in higher education have to come to grips with in this era of transformation is openness, and the diffuse, decentralized availability of information that's available for free," he said. 

 

"Openness sets up all new knowledge ecologies, especially in a networked environment, and these new ways of communication are based on social principles and cultural logic. As professional educators, we need to think about how our curriculums can be rebooted so they fit better into a networked environment."

In some sense, Peters said, a lot of the leading developments in adapting higher education to a Web 2.0 world are happening on the fringes, almost despite education.

"You already have people in the sciences doing this voluntarily, where experts and amateurs will collaborate on a time-intensive subject such as astronomy," Peters said. "But that's the exception to the rule, not the norm."

The major questions, Peters said, are: "How do we redesign our schools to make use of the new logics. How do we begin to refocus these institutions to promote the kinds of innovation that businesses and governments around the world are trying to encourage?"

Citing the Web 2.0 principles of participation and open collaboration, as exemplified by Web sites such as Wikipedia and Wikiversity, Peters said traditional "bricks-and-mortarboard" universities need to embrace "Education 3.0," which he defines as "a cross-institutional, cross-cultural education where the learners themselves play a key role as creators of knowledge."

Seen through a historical lens, the Encyclopédie, an Enlightenment-era publication written by many of the French intellectual giants of the time, including Voltaire, Rousseau and Montesquieu, was a precursor to the raft of free content available today, Peters said. The creative impulse behind the Encyclopédie was to compile and publish a compendium of human knowledge in order to cultivate a well-informed populace capable of self-government, Peters said.

"Back then, access to knowledge was seen as an absolutely profound political principle, not unlike today," Peters said. "So this idea of participatory knowledge for a well-informed polity to create better self-government has been affecting all of our major institutions for quite some time. Over 200 years later, this is something that everyone is still trying to wrap their heads around. But it's also a very exciting time to be involved in higher education."

Source: University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (news : web)

Robot Gardeners

A class of undergraduates at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology has created a set of robots that can water, harvest and pollinate cherry tomato plants.

The article cannot be reproduced here but follow this link Robot Gardeners

Sunday, April 26, 2009

The Roots of a Gardening Obsession

How an 18th-century American farmer transformed England's approach to horticulture

There is a slideshow with this article in the wall Street Journal

Click here SLIDESHOW

At this moment a dozen tomato plants are "listening" to taped voices through headphones that are clamped to their pots. They are part of a trial run by the British Royal Horticultural Society in their garden Wisley in Surrey, England. On April 1, the RHS invited the public to audition for the nation's most plant-friendly voice -- a sort of "American Idol" for plants. Forty-five competitors, including Sarah Darwin (Charles Darwin's great-great-granddaughter), read Shakespeare's "A Midsummer Night's Dream," recited poetry and talked to the plants. Then the judges whittled the list down to 10 contestants -- the voices the tomato plants are currently hearing. After 30 days the plants will be measured and the voice that "produced" the most flourishing specimen will be announced as the final winner of the Voice of Wisley.

Colin Crosbie, the superintendent of the trial, says the RHS is quite serious about discovering "how plants respond to voices."

The British are obsessed with gardens. Each year they spend almost $6 billion on their gardens, close to what the country spent last year on military operations in Afghanistan and Iraq. Ten-year waiting lists to rent a tiny plot in inner-city community gardens are nothing unusual, and for some Brits, gardening has become so important that they speed date with a horticultural theme -- so-called "speed gardening" during which potential dates are judged by their green-fingered talents.

As the earth warms up and we put on our gloves to get the beds ready for another year of color and scent, many of us will look to England as the motherland of horticulture. What is there not to adore about the gently rolling parkland, thatched cottages hidden by rambling roses and kaleidoscopic herbaceous borders that look effortlessly natural? But what few people know is that the English landscape garden has its roots in America. The colonies' towering trees, flowering shrubs and glossy evergreens gave English gardeners in the 18th century the "living pencils" to draw the landscapes we adore so much today. These trees and shrubs provided the shapes and colors that created the first "natural" landscapes in England. It was America that freed England from the corset of patterns and topiary that gardeners had imposed on nature in the 17th and early 18th century.

[American farmer John Bartram]The John Bartram Assn., Bartram's Garden, Philadelphia

American farmer John Bartram was instrumental in the transformation.

It all began in 1733, when the American farmer John Bartram dispatched two seed boxes from Philadelphia to Peter Collinson, a London cloth merchant and passionate plant collector. For years Mr. Collinson had tried to use his trading connections to augment his flowerbeds. "Forget not Mee & My Garden," he wrote to his business partners, but very few answered his pleas.

His friendship with Benjamin Franklin eventually put him in contact with Mr. Bartram. Mr. Franklin was Mr. Bartram's greatest supporter in Philadelphia (a few years later they would found the American Philosophical Society together) while Mr. Collinson was one of Mr. Franklin's best friends in London, where they had met in the 1720s. Over the next 40 years Mr. Bartram sent hundreds of seed boxes to Mr. Collinson, which would transform the English gardens. He lived on a farm just outside Philadelphia, but every fall he would leave his fields in the capable hands of his wife to go plant collecting in the frontier wilderness. Endlessly crossing ridges and streams, he traveled thousands of miles and climbed up the highest pines in search of new species for Mr. Collinson and his gardening friends.

Mr. Bartram rode through the Appalachian Mountains, which were blanketed in trees. "I had ye fines prospect of ye largest Landskip that ever my eyes beheld," he wrote to Mr. Collinson, who was following the journey from the comfort of his armchair. Mr. Bartram saw the fiery fall leaves of red maples, scarlet oaks and flowering dogwoods against the dark needles of conifers such as Eastern hemlocks and white pines. Beneath the trees grew thickets of rhododendron and evergreen kalmias.

Over the next decades Mr. Bartram went farther and farther, zigzagging the colonies from Lake Ontario to Florida. He collected Magnolia grandiflora from South Carolina, the fringe tree with its dangling tassels of white blossom from Virginia and balsam fir from the Catskills. When his saddlebags were filled Mr. Bartram went home to begin the laborious packing of the large wooden seed boxes. The seeds of each species were neatly wrapped in paper and labeled so the English gardeners knew what they were receiving. Each winter dozens of these boxes crossed the ocean to London where Mr. Collinson excitedly waited to distribute the American treasures to his friends.

Photolibrary

The grounds at Newby Hall.

For the first time the English gardeners had a vast choice of plants that would bring beauty and variety to the garden at all seasons. Until Mr. Bartram began sending his boxes, fall in England had been a fairly muted affair. Now the falling of leaves was preceded by an extraordinary show. White ash competed with the bloodied foliage of tupelo, and the glowing reds of the maple leaves with the aubergine purple of sweetgum. There were winter flowering shrubs such as witch hazel, and arrowwood, which blossomed in spring and produced berries in the fall. The creation of year-round beauty on such a scale was an entirely new art.

The gardener who was the most accomplished in "painting" with Mr. Bartram's plants was Lord Petre, Mr. Collinson's closest friend. At his estate Thorndon in Essex, Lord Petre created a revolutionary landscape garden that was populated with American species and became the model for many others. Everything he did was on a large scale -- he wanted tens of thousands of seeds and "Horse Loads" of pinecones for his 1,000-acre park. By the early 1740s more than 200,000 foreign trees, shrubs and flowers were growing at Thorndon. Mr. Collinson was so enthralled that he wrote to Mr. Bartram in 1741, "when I walk among them, One cannot well help thinking He is in North American thickets -- there are such Quantities."

Lord Petre eschewed the formal arrangements and straight lines that had underpinned the gardens of the late 17th and early 18th century in which no flower head or branch was allowed to grow unruly. Instead, he and other gardeners began to use Mr. Bartram's trees to provide shapes and patterns -- they offered columns, cones, pyramids or spheres without the need for pruning shears; branches feathered down or twisted towards the sun. Some trees grew so bushy that they were green barriers, while others were as delicate as ornamental latticework against the sky. Once mature, the conical shape of Mr. Bartram's red cedarfor example, provided vertical brushstrokes, while kalmias and rhododendrons spread in looser, more horizontal lines. The smoothness of the white stems of young paper birches contrasted to the flaking bark of American sycamore or the scaly, almost square plates of the shortleaf pine.

English gardeners wanted their plots filled with these dazzling American plants -- so much so that some even commissioned thieves to steal them. In 1766 Mr. Collinson's shrubbery was raided for the third time by thieves who clearly knew what they were doing because they only stole the precious American species. To deter criminals, Mr. Collinson and his friends had a Parliamentary Act passed that same summer whereby plant thieves could be punished with transportation to, almost ironically, one of the American penal colonies. Today nothing much has changed in Britain. According to insurers, garden crime is on the rise and British thieves still think it's worth uprooting trees and emptying flowerbeds.

By the end of the 18th century England was gripped in a flower frenzy and the ownership of a garden had become a perquisite of happiness, and maybe even Englishness itself. Women decorated their wigs with festoons of silky blossoms and miniature groves complete with figurines of gardeners. "Eleven damsels," one onlooker observed at a dinner party in 1777, "had, among them, on their heads, an acre and a half of shrubbery, besides slopes, grass-plats, tulip-beds, clumps of peonies, kitchen-gardens, and green-houses." That infatuation is still on display today when gardeners at the Chelsea Flower Show give their flowers a "blow dry" with hair dryers (to encourage the flowers to unfurl their opulent blossom a little more quickly).

Mr. Bartram's trees and flowers laid the foundation of the English garden and by the time of his death, in 1777, his American plants were available in nurseries across Britain. By then the English garden had become so popular that its plants and designs were exported abroad. In France and Germany, Italy and Russia, gardeners recreated "le jardin anglais," "der Englische Garten" and "il giardino inglese," consisting of Mr. Bartram's American trees. Garden tourism in England also became popular. In 1786 Thomas Jefferson and John Adams went on a garden tour through England, and even the Anglophobic Jefferson had to admit that "gardening in that country is the article in which it surpasses all the earth."

In turn, the Americans began to appreciate their native species. Mr. Jefferson realized that the pleasure grounds he had seen during his garden tour were actually more American than English. It would be easy to recreate something similar in the United States, he said, "we have only to cut out the superabundant plants." Only half a century after Mr. Bartram sent his first seed box to London, American gardeners were scouring their own forests for ornamental trees. George Washington, for example, created a shrubbery at Mount Vernon that consisted of native species only.

GPL/Photolibrary

In the 1700s, English gardens moved from a formal to a more natural style. Popular gardens now include Sissinghurst -- especially known for its White Garden.

Today the taste for growing native species is gaining momentum again across the U.S., and garden tourism is still strong. Every year thousands of Americans make pilgrimages to imposing pleasure grounds such as Stowe in Buckinghamshire or Stourhead in Wiltshire. Horticultural gems such as Hidcote Manor Garden in Gloucestershire (actually created by an American!) or Vita Sackville-West's Sissinghurst in Kent remain high on the itineraries of American tourists. John Oddy, executive director of the Royal Oak Foundation (the U.S. branch of the British National Trust), says that almost 90% of their members that travel to Britain will visit famous gardens.

For American gardeners, there is no reason to be envious. Yes, the English garden is glorious but there are two consolations. Today's English gardens, from the small suburban yards to large parklands, are crowded with the descendants of the plants that Mr. Bartram dispatched, ranging from vibrant flowers such as echinacea, phlox and scarlet beebalm to majestic tulip poplars, magnolias and southern catalpas. The English garden would have never become famous across the Western world had it not been for the American plants.

The other consolation is that we non-Brits have been saved from a terrible ailment which has only recently been diagnosed by the Royal Horticultural Society: "plant bereavement." Half of the time their telephone advisory service counsels traumatized victims of damaged flowers and trees rather than dispensing horticultural tips. It's not easy for English gardeners, the RHS's principal horticultural adviser Leigh Hunt says, because "much like people who lose a parent or child, gardeners often also go through the same stages of grief -- shock, denial, anger, depression and acceptance." Isn't it a relief not to be a English gardener?

Andrea Wulf is the author most recently of "The Brother Gardeners: Botany, Empire and the Birth of an Obsession."

Printed in The Wall Street Journal, page W3


   APRIL 25, 2009, 6:50 A.M. ET